Pickens Politics
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Market Update
By Alex Saitta
July 15, 2008
Comment from November 19, 2007:
Crude oil is still firm, holding above $90. We'll see $3 soon, and long-term, I think gasoline is going to $4.
Stocks are rolling over. As I said above, this is going to get ugly, and it is safe to say, right now, it is not pretty. If you are long, and you still haven't gotten out, by all means, do so now. The market is below 13,000 and the next key level is the previous low of 12,649.
Comment from January 8, 2008:
The stock market had another big down day today. It is safe to say it is heading to below 11,000. I think this will come to as a surprise to those who bought into what their brokers say, "In the long run, stocks always go up."
July 16 Update:
Stocks have reached their target of just below 11,000, reaching there yesterday. I no longer have an opinion on stocks.
Concerning the energy complex, gasoline has reached its $4 target, so a correction or decline will occur. Is it a top or a just the up trend taking a break? I'm sure the over-priced experts on CNBC will say the energy run-up is over, but it is not. Sad to say this is a major bull market. I still think gasoline is somewhere in the middle of its move. Likely it is heading to $7 to $8 a gallon over the next few years.
I still have my $1,500 Gold target. I think I made that prediction a year or so ago. The market is just trading sideways now, but this is also a major bull market. I still like it.
China is putting 9,00 new cars on the road each day. The industrialization of Asia is what is driving energy prices in my opinion.
Gold is a function of rising energy markets, and growing U.S. debt and the trade imbalances it causes. Instead of addressing its over-spending and borrowing problem, the U.S. is just printing money. That's inflationary. Expect inflation to continue to rise too.
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